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2024-12-13 12:01:58

Current A-shares: The upward momentum is still the same, so we need to be cautious in chasing up —— Investment suggestion of technical schoolAlthough countless people, such as Mr. Li Daxiao, are calling for embracing the market weight of core values every day, millions of big V's remind small-cap stocks of the risks every day, and call attention to the switching of large and small tickets every day, but for several months, I haven't seen the switching, or even the signs of switching. In the past few months, the rise of small tickets has reached a new high every day without looking back, and the weight headed by SSE 50 has almost never looked back after hitting a high on October 8.


So how should we treat the opportunities and risks in the current market? Let me tell you my views.It is still a potential track that has not been paid attention to by the market, or an opportunity for low-end stocks in popular tracks to make up. A really good hunter is good at observation, patience and waiting.


Today's leading industries are all from the consumer sector. The surge in consumption is undoubtedly a rush to run the meeting, but unfortunately, the news of this meeting has just landed at 20 o'clock, and there is no reference to consumption exceeding expectations.The weekly chart shows that liquor has been in such a downward channel, so the two red points circled by me in the chart, one is the high point on October 8 and the other is the high point on November 12, corresponding to the market turnover of 3 trillion and 2.6 trillion respectively at that time, and liquor will face this pressure again tomorrow. If its turnover cannot exceed before, it will not be able to break through this trend line. Then, with the news of the meeting, I have doubts about the sustainability of the whole consumption sector. Even if it can rise tomorrow and Friday, I am worried that it is taking advantage of the megaphone effect on the weekend. After all, consumption is the sector that can't afford scrutiny, the most uncertain performance and the most fantastic speculation.Everyone knows that consumption is the face of the king of consumption-liquor plate, but if I show you the weekly chart of liquor plate, you will understand why I have always been cautious about this plate.

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